Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.789998 4.035266 4.298617 4.604265 4.951656 5.337182 5.801634
2025-02-16 3.320890 3.639173 4.000041 4.445564 4.989805 5.645833 6.517965
2025-02-23 2.964507 3.319626 3.739442 4.284173 4.991714 5.911075 7.257908
2025-03-02 2.662606 3.029834 3.477902 4.082447 4.908286 6.053788 7.892302
2025-03-09 2.462134 2.843049 3.321613 3.991859 4.954560 6.384704 8.930927
2025-03-16 2.269455 2.648524 3.135102 3.836025 4.883052 6.528607 9.741142
2025-03-23 2.158300 2.549054 3.063033 3.828148 5.026480 7.049512 11.536823
2025-03-30 2.051566 2.446520 2.976513 3.787503 5.111026 7.496863 13.521075
2025-04-06 1.946108 2.337976 2.872004 3.707096 5.116188 7.801973 15.461162
2025-04-13 1.839485 2.221141 2.746838 3.581529 5.024118 7.890630 16.917061
2025-04-20 1.792737 2.183812 2.732608 3.627863 5.244177 8.721510 22.284678
2025-04-27 1.755870 2.157549 2.731788 3.694719 5.515194 9.798597 32.242764
2025-05-04 1.707452 2.116094 2.711188 3.737495 5.774600 11.081929 54.828376
2025-05-11 1.657552 2.069978 2.680649 3.761332 6.008290 12.512430 127.366983
2025-05-18 1.600982 2.011101 2.626239 3.737234 6.136453 13.757366 828.183270
2025-05-25 1.534936 1.934935 2.539575 3.645290 6.090415 14.351890 NaN
2025-06-01 1.487249 1.884010 2.490300 3.618705 6.201007 15.794352 NaN
2025-06-08 1.429412 1.815127 2.407725 3.520431 6.111903 16.248071 NaN
2025-06-15 1.397477 1.784168 2.385487 3.537385 6.331554 18.753963 NaN
2025-06-22 1.361513 1.745298 2.347561 3.519071 6.453307 21.027860 NaN
2025-06-29 1.321061 1.697783 2.292397 3.460451 6.448067 22.496998 NaN
2025-07-06 1.275602 1.640865 2.218590 3.357497 6.292947 22.539333 NaN
2025-07-13 1.257989 1.626722 2.216944 3.404668 6.607931 28.113922 NaN